College football teams play 12 games. Never mind, for a moment, how many you want your favorite team to win this fall (The popular pick would probably be 12). How many do you think Las Vegas thinks your team will win in the 2008 regular-season?
More accurately, how many do you think Las Vegas thinks will get equal action betting on both sides, over and under?
How many wins does Vegas say Iowa and Iowa State will win. Keep in mind that half-wins are used for some teams. Syracuse has the lowest projected win total by vegasinsier.com with 2.5 USC has the most with 10.5.
While you wait to see Iowa and Iowa State’s numbers, here are the other for the Big Ten and Big 12 teams:
Big Ten: Ohio State 10, Penn State 8.5, Wisconsin 8.5, Michigan 8, Illinois 8, Michigan State 7, Northwestern 6.5, Purdue 6.5, Indiana 5, Minnesota 4.5.
Big 12: Oklahoma 10, Missouri 9.5, Texas 9, Texas Tech 9, Kansas 8, Texas A&M 7, Oklahoma State 7, Nebraska 7, Kansas State 6.5, Colorado 5.5, Baylor 3.
Even though Iowa State opens the season with home games against South Dakota State and Kent State, the over/under number for the Cyclones is … 3.
Inexperienced team, brutal schedule. ISU’s conference home games are against Kansas, Nebraska, Texas A&M and Missouri. Win one of those four (A&M is the best bet), and the Cyclones get their three wins. That’s if they dispose of South Dakota State and Kent State, of course.
And, oh yeah, one might note Iowa State plays at Iowa, and the Hawkeyes haven’t exactly owned ISU over the last decade.
So I’d take ISU and 3 wins and figure no worse than a push.
Iowa bettors won’t get a push, because its number is 7.5. There are no ties in football. Not college football, anyhow.
So, how does 7.5 sound? Who knows? So many games seem iffy. At Pittsburgh (the Panthers’ projected win total is 6.5)? At Michigan State? At Indiana? At Illinois? Wisconsin and Penn State at home? At Minnesota to close the season, and to close the Metrodome forever as far as Gophers’ football is concerned?
Stay away from either side of this one. Instead, plunk your coin on Michigan under 8 wins. No way the Wolverines go 9-3 in their first year under Rich Rodriguez with his wacky offense that will seem so foreign in Ann Arbor.
Thank me in late November. Or not. You’re the one who’s doing the wagering. I say gambling is for suckers.
To see all the over/unders at vegasinsider.com, go to: http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/futures/